I understand some of the fear, but I'm not sure the number of shooters is going to go up all that much. At least in the feature market. Perhaps the number of owner/operators will, but just because you own a RED camera doesn't mean a production company is going to give you the job over someone with an established, solid record. If the "pro" guys are worried about losing jobs to "amateur" shooters who happen to have Red cameras, then they're more paranoid than I thought.
Contracts may change more in the lower/end commercial, music video, or corporate market, but that's been happening already. Just have to learn to adapt sometimes.
Again, I don't think that RED is going to cause any severe influx of independent films any more than DV or 24p did. Sure, it'll cause an influx of 4K films, but as you pointed out, will that mean a lot to the majority of distribution companies or film festivals out there? As I previously stated, my last film was shot on an HVX because that's what our budget could afford. Would I have liked to shoot on 35mm or an F900 or even RED if it was a possibility? Of course, but there's always a limit and you just have to find a way to be creative with what you have. For us, that meant using the M2 to get the shallow DOF we wanted. But it certainly didn't stop us from making the film just because we didn't have a RED ONE lying around...
Agreed, I don't think anyone is thinking that having a 4K camera will be the magic solution to make your movie amazing. It takes a myriad of other (more important) elements to really get a film to shine. But this is an argument that has been beaten to death, especially since the arrival of 24P on the scene. What it does mean is the potential for higher quality, however, and while that may or may not have a direct impact on the way a story is told, people do notice and care - especially the filmmakers. Could Steven Spielberg have shot "War Of The Worlds" on DV? Sure, Spielberg can do anything he wants. :-) But I think a lot of people would have been pretty dissapointed if they saw compressed 4:1:1 video on the big screen. It would be like watching a feature film on YouTube: entirely possible but not the best experience. Yet some people do it on their iPods every day. Anyway, the point is we all have different thresholds for quality demands, but my hope is that most of us - at least those who are actively making films - want the quality of their material to be the best it possibly can, and this camera is another (great) piece of the puzzle.
I think, again, that independents have wanted something similar to this for a long time - Red or not. There are a handful of "movie showcase" websites that give equal exposure to independent films - the question is, how many people actually actively seek them out and watch each one? Advertising, word, of mouth, reviews, critical acclaim - all the usual suspects - still have the most impact on the end user seeing something. That being said, if you think you have the answer for the little guy, I definitely won't stand in your way. :-)



