RedOne is a work in progress like we all know. Working on feedback from its potential users, the Red team continues to craft what I strongly believe will be a revolutionary and comprehensive piece of equipment. BTW, if 15 stops is your cue to get rid of your film equipment, then I suggest, wait and see... hopefully it won't be too late.
S16 already has a market ...that market is not going to drop S16 when RED is released in 2007 ... for most of us here we will not be shooting much S16 and will adopt our projects to REDs- BUT things work a bit SLOWer in hollywood .. it will take a some time for RED to work into Hollywood workflows ...
IMO 2 years down the line ( after RED & SI 2k released ) i would say 50% of the S16 market will switch to digital cinema camera's with a continued decline from there...
Sp16 will still have many applications and I'm sure once people understand digital cinema it will change the market, like the still photography market. When digital stills came out it took awhile for people to switch over and now most pros use some sort of digital for there work.
2007 is going to be a great year...The year of RED
You can't get more than 12 "real-world" f-stops out of a 12-bit A/D converter . . . also theoretically a 12-bit A/D converter can provide a dynamic range of 72db . . . Graeme's tests have shown that the Mysterium is capable of 11 and 1/3 stops, which corresponds nicely to the >66db that they have specified for the Mysterium. What this means is that they're probably getting around 67-68db or something in that range, and the remainder of the 72db that the A/D converter can theoretically deliver is consumed by the noise floor. For 15-fstops of dynamic range in the "real-world", you're looking at needing something on the order of a 16-bit A/D converter and around 90db of dynamic range with a low noise floor.
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